Among the Democrats, former Secy. of State Hillary Clinton is leading against the formidable Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT) in a heated race for the democratic nomination for president. Each election or caucus day, Clinton remains a strong leader in the polls. With an email scandal and a possible indictment looming, why are voters choosing Hillary Clinton?
Clinton’s delegate count is racked up at 1,599 (with 467 superdelegates), topping Sanders’s 844 (with 26 superdelegates). Sanders’s rallies are pulling anywhere from 5,000 to a reported 27,500, where Clinton is pulling on the lower end of those numbers for her rallies. But, with nearly 30,000 people backing Sanders at events, why isn’t that being reflected in the polls?
According to a Feb. 16 Gallup Poll, Clinton leads favorability with black and hispanic Democrats. A Pew Research Study from 2014 found that 64% of Black, Non-Hispanic voters are Democrat and 34% of Hispanic voters are Democrat; roughly 35% of the party. And Clinton isn’t just winning with the minority groups within the Democratic Party; she’s crushing Sanders with them.
In many of the elections, Clinton is overwhelmingly collecting the votes – like in Nevada.
In the five NV precincts with the highest percentages of African American registrants, Clinton won all the delegates, 76-0.
— Brian Fallon (@brianefallon) February 20, 2016
With both of these groups, President Obama would have lost elections in many of the states that Clinton has won. Obama has had high approval ratings with the Black and African-American communities. In 2014, a Gallup Poll found his rating was at 84%; nearly 40% higher than all Americans.
“As president, I will carry forward the Democratic record of achievement. I’ll defend President Obama’s accomplishments and build upon them.”
With the Hispanic Democrats, Clinton has gotten many key endorsements, like Rep. Ben Ray Luján, the top ranking Latino House Democrat and the chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
“Hillary has the determination to defend and expand our country’s economic and social progress, and to continue to break down barriers and move our country forward so that opportunity reaches everyone,” Luján said in February.
Issues like the economy, as Luján mentioned, are a top concern for Hispanic Democrats.
A February 2016 Gallup Poll found that Sanders does well in states where black voters are less populated and Clinton has higher favorables with Hispanic voters.
Although Sanders’s message of correcting many forms of inequality in America is resonating with the white population, it doesn’t seem to be hitting the minority population in the same way.
Minority voting is laying the path for a more decisive vote for the Democratic primary elections – with an easier path to winning for Hillary Clinton.